Friday, May 28, 2010

The Oil Spill

I'd like to thank a friend of mine for taking me through the steps BP is going through to come up with a solution to their problem in the Gulf.

I've asked him to produce a drawing of the shelf the drilling has occured upon in order to help you understand the problem being faced by the BP guys.

The current "fix" being offered by BP isn't, and probably wasn't meant to be, a long-term solution to the current blow out. It's hard to imagine the pressures that this company is being challenged to deal with. And I'm not talking about the political pressure. I'm talking about the physical pressure of working hundreds of feet under the ocean.

If any of you have gone diving, you know there is a great deal of difference between snorkling and diving. Snorkling can create a lot of problems for the swimmer. There is a great deal of difference between swimming ten feet under water and twenty feet under water. This difference is magnified when you approach 100 feet under water.

They are drilling under some three thousand feet of water, before they hit bedrock. Let's assume that the pressure at that depth is 2,500 pounds per square inch. And, we're drilling with a ten inch pipe. How much pressure is in that pipe?

After they hit bedrock they stop using pipe. Instead, they put a cap in space and start drilling into bedrock. On top of this cap is a stand pipe, with a sub-bedrock depth of ten feet, around which will be placed the future tailings of the rest of the drilling process. After the intial ten feet of drilling of ten inches, BP continues to drill, but with an eigth inch drill. For another two to five thousand feet. As they drill, the tailings will be used to hold the cap in place.

This is all good, unless there is a blow out.

We had a blow out. There was too much pressure under the cap, although the design of the cap was adequate, given certain preconditions. Like, lower pressures in the hole they were drilling. It seems obvious that the pressure the sub-continental oil was held was greater than was predicted by the engineers.

Who knew?

Challenges like this shouldn't stop oil drilling. If anything, it should encourage drilling at shallower depths. But nobody is making this argument.

Near land oil rigs have greater safety than deep water rigs. It's obvious.

We need oil. Wind and solar will never replace more "sustainable" energy sources. It will take us, perhaps, decades to prove the point. Until then, we can be assured that the anti energy lobby will take us further and further into debt. Free health care, without the means to pay for it. Legislating brilliance by reducing the standards of merit for both teachers and students. At a certain point, we'll stop thinking we're smart and start acting smart. Not today, but soon.

But understanding the way we extract oil from the sea will help us get on the right track. What is the pressure under twenty-five hundred feet in the ocean? What is the pressure under five thousand feet?

It's great that our President is taking charge, but has anybody explained the math to him, or to his supporters?

There's a reason why we teach math in grade schools. I just think it would be neat if we could require math for our talking heads during the news.

How does BOP Work?

Stolen from Greg Mankiw's site. It's a macro thing.


Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Reading U.S. History In 500 Years

How will historians write of us in the centuries that will follow American independence?

Perhaps you will find this instructive.

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Corrupt Election Officials In Your County

Here's the election outcome. The sad thing is, election officials are discarding ballots based upon a failure of signature matching. Nobody ever said "mail-in" voting was a better system than voting on polling day at a local polling booth. Nobody. Systemic fraud is more likely with mail-in ballots than actual personal visitation of a polling place.

Here's the latest count.


Susan Castillo Ron Maurer Write-in Votes Total
Baker 1,717 45.27% 2,065 54.44% 11 0.29% 3,793
Benton 10,754 60.41% 6,972 39.16% 76 0.43% 17,802
Clackamas 30,325 47.32% 33,603 52.44% 157 0.24% 64,085
Clatsop 4,424 54.48% 3,661 45.09% 35 0.43% 8,120
Columbia 4,774 47.92% 5,140 51.59% 49 0.49% 9,963
Coos 8,325 54.31% 6,955 45.37% 49 0.32% 15,329
Crook 1,943 41.80% 2,692 57.92% 13 0.28% 4,648
Curry 2,594 46.19% 2,985 53.15% 37 0.66% 5,616
Deschutes 13,539 43.83% 17,261 55.87% 93 0.30% 30,893
Douglas 11,369 45.15% 13,768 54.68% 42 0.17% 25,179
Gilliam 281 49.21% 290 50.79% 0 0.00% 571
Grant 647 37.16% 1,086 62.38% 8 0.46% 1,741
Harney 850 43.57% 1,097 56.23% 4 0.21% 1,951
Hood River 2,523 53.14% 2,210 46.55% 15 0.32% 4,748
Jackson 14,363 40.52% 20,973 59.16% 114 0.32% 35,450
Jefferson 1,800 46.83% 2,040 53.07% 4 0.10% 3,844
Josephine 5,444 28.77% 13,426 70.95% 53 0.28% 18,923
Klamath 5,596 42.47% 7,534 57.18% 46 0.35% 13,176
Lake 784 39.52% 1,193 60.13% 7 0.35% 1,984
Lane 46,947 60.55% 30,367 39.16% 225 0.29% 77,539
Lincoln 5,806 55.21% 4,677 44.48% 33 0.31% 10,516
Linn 9,232 44.75% 11,323 54.89% 75 0.36% 20,630
Malheur 1,906 38.64% 3,021 61.24% 6 0.12% 4,933
Marion 21,661 41.43% 30,498 58.33% 129 0.25% 52,288
Morrow 827 42.58% 1,113 57.31% 2 0.10% 1,942
Multnomah 70,709 60.46% 45,718 39.09% 521 0.45% 116,948
Polk 6,502 42.17% 8,873 57.55% 44 0.29% 15,419
Sherman 252 47.82% 275 52.18% 0 0.00% 527
Tillamook 3,217 53.38% 2,788 46.26% 22 0.37% 6,027
Umatilla 4,267 42.70% 5,706 57.09% 21 0.21% 9,994
Union 2,515 45.26% 3,020 54.35% 22 0.40% 5,557
Wallowa 1,004 47.97% 1,079 51.55% 10 0.48% 2,093
Wasco 2,629 50.41% 2,578 49.43% 8 0.15% 5,215
Washington 40,114 50.34% 39,341 49.37% 237 0.30% 79,692
Wheeler 182 43.54% 234 55.98% 2 0.48% 418
Yamhill 9,233 46.30% 10,637 53.34% 73 0.37% 19,943
Totals: 349,055 50.04% 346,199 49.63% 2,243 0.32% 697,497

Now, the good news is, most of Oregon is squared away. There are a few exceptions, like Multnomah, Benton, Clatsop, Coos, Hood River, Lane, Lincoln and Tillamook, Wasco and Washington counties. And I'm going to give a pass to Washington County for being basically well-educated.

For the rest of the state, education is important, and the people of 26 counties learned enough about a non-partisan race to make an important decision. Susan Castillo is a joke.

Now I find out that the county clerks in Oregon are withholding information from the Maurer campaign because the voter’s signature didn't match from outside of their May 18th ballot with what their County Elections have on file.

Republicans and others with intelligence must find out if their vote was counted, or not.

Voters have 10 days from election day to fix this with their County Elections office. By the way, the Secretary of State Elections Division and every County Elections office has officially refused in writing to supply a list of folks receiving this letter. So now it’s up to you and me to reach as many of these folks as possible without knowing who they are!

If you voted, you must call your local elections office to find out if your ballot was accepted. Hit this link for your local elections office. For Clatsop County, call Cathie Garber at 325-8511.

Das Is Culch

Monday, May 24, 2010

×—ֻצְפָּ×”

Chutzpa.

It's all about the personal responsibility. Yeah. You want the Left in charge.